German Institute for Global and Area Studies | Leibniz-Institut für Globale und Regionale Studien

Context Matters – Country-Specific Politico-Economic Analyses, Conflict and Crisis Potentials, as well as Global and Regional Trends / Phase III

The achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals and the strategic capability of German development cooperation in the context of the BMZ 2030 reform concept are based on in-depth knowledge of country-specific, regional and global developments. The GIGA provides annual information on actors and governance structures as well as on conflict potentials in countries of the Global South. Additionally, important regional and global trends are analysed with a comparative area perspective.
BMZ, 2023-2027

Team

Dr. Daniel Dückers

Associate

Dr. Sebastian Huhn

Associate

Désirée Marlen Reder

Doctoral Researcher

Monika Onken

Research Fellow

Leitung

Prof. Dr. Sabine Kurtenbach

Präsidentin (interim)

Forschungsfragen

· What country specific politico-economic trends impact the success of development cooperation? What actors promoting or inhibiting reforms can be identified?

· What potential do conflicts have to escalate violently? What peacebuilding strategies can be supported by external actors?

· What are important political, social, and economic regional trends influence development cooperation in the Global South?

Beitrag zu internationaler Forschung

International development cooperation can only achieve the self-imposed goals and those of the sustainable development agenda (Agenda 2030, SDGs) if the possible effects of regional and global trends are recognized and incorporated at an early stage and the different measures are based on a solid knowledge of the country-specific developments based on the characteristics of the political system (including development orientation, legitimacy, social reform and blockade forces) as well as the existing conflict, crisis and escalation potential.

Forschungsdesign und Methoden

The methodology of the country-specific analyses is based on a guideline and a catalogue of indicators that make a comparable assessment possible in the first place. These analyses are produced exclusively for the BMZ.

The methodology for the "trend analyses" was developed in the first project phase and has been applied since the second project phase. It is based on GIGA expertise in comparative area studies and aims to identify regional and global trends that are or could become significant for international cooperation and, in particular, for achieving the SDGs. The "trend analyses" are presented and made accessible to a broad public as a scientific product, available in different open access formats.

GIGA Focus Lateinamerika | 2/2024

Conditions for Democratic Transitions: Venezuela’s 2024 Elections

Die Einheit der Opposition unter Maria Corina Machado stellt eine unbekannte Herausforderung für das Regime von Nicolas Maduro dar. Um Kandidaten auszuschließen und die Opposition zu spalten, instrumentalisiert das Regime die Justiz und verfolgt politische Gegner. Freie und faire Wahlen sind unwahrscheinlich.

Jesus Antonio Renzullo Narvaez

Research Fellow

GIGA Focus Global | 1/2024

Repression by Legal Means: Governments’ Anti-Fake News Lawfare

Die Anti-Fake-News-Gesetzgebung verstärkt die Kontrolle über die Zivilgesellschaft und untergräbt deren demokratische Grundrechte. Die Muster dieser juristischen Repression und die damit verbundenen Gegenstrategien in Süd- und Südostasien werden als Vorreiter globaler Entwicklungen untersucht.

Dr. Sangeeta Mahapatra

Dr. Janjira Sombatpoonsiri

PD Dr. Andreas Ufen

GIGA Focus Lateinamerika | 1/2024

Guatemala: A Vote for Turning the Tide

Am 15. Januar 2024 trat Guatemalas Präsident Bernardo Arévalo sein Amt an. Mit ihm steigt die Hoffnung auf demokratische Reformen. Gleichzeitig besteht eine etablierte Elite, die die Unabhängigkeit der Justiz beeinträchtigt – weit über die Wahlen hinaus. Kann Guatemala die Trendwende schaffen?

Prof. Dr. Sabine Kurtenbach

Désirée Marlen Reder

Alina Maria Ripplinger

Konferenz | 14.02.2024 - 16.02.2024

Legados Violentos, Movimientos Sociales, Futuros Inciertos

Legados Violentos, Movimientos Sociales, Futuros Inciertos, Universidad de Costa Rica, San José Désirée Marlen Reder (Organisator:in), Prof. Dr. Sabine Kurtenbach (Organisator:in), Alina Maria Ripplinger (Panelbeitragende:r)

In Central America, democracy and peacebuilding processes are currently threatened. Researchers and civil society representatives discussed potential pathways out of the crisis in a three-day workshop at the University of Costa Rica in San José, organised by GIGA.

Désirée Marlen Reder

Prof. Dr. Sabine Kurtenbach

Alina Maria Ripplinger

Konferenz | 07.11.2024 - 09.11.2024

14.° Foro Centroamericano De Periodisimo

14.° Foro Centroamericano De Periodisimo, Cooperación Española, Antigua Désirée Marlen Reder (Eingeladener Gast)

The Central American Journalism Forum (ForoCap) is an annual international meeting of journalists, organised since 2010 by the Salvadoran digital news outlet El Faro. The forum brings together journalists, activists and communication scholars from all over the world, but especially from Central America. Like every year, and like every edition of ForoCap, this space is becoming increasingly important for the journalists' guild and for citizens who consider and defend information as a fundamental right of democracies. In a Latin America in turmoil and a region where democracies are being dismantled, the importance of journalism is growing.

Désirée Marlen Reder

Doctoral Researcher

German Institute for Global and Area Studies | 12.09.2024

Safeguards and Defenders - The Role of Civil Scoiety and the Rule of Law in De- and Re-democratisation

Organisation: German Institute for Global and Area Studies Désirée Marlen Reder (Vortragende:r), Monika Onken (Vortragende:r)

Désirée Marlen Reder

Doctoral Researcher

Monika Onken

Research Fellow

F.A.Z Machtprobe | Interview | 28.09.2024

Der "coolste Diktator der Welt"

In El Salvador regiert nach eigenem Bekunden der coolste Diktator der Welt - Nayib Bukele. Der Präsident geht mit harter Hand gegen die organisierte Kriminalität im Land vor. Auch wenn die Mordraten gefallen sind, zahlt das Land einen hohen Preis.